Paying people not to do something may conjure up images of dubious protection
rackets, but according to growing numbers of experts it could also prove one of
the most cost effective means of curbing global carbon emissions.
That is certainly the view of investment banking giant
Merrill Lynch,
which this week became the latest firm to underline its interest in carbon
credits from avoided deforestation projects, inking a deal with Australian firm
Carbon Conservation that will
see it buy a minimum of $9m of carbon credits from an avoided deforestation
scheme in Aceh Indonesia.
Under the terms of the agreement, Carbon Conservation and its NGO partner
Fauna and Flora International will
commit to delivering a huge reduction in deforestation across 750,000 hectares
of tropical forest in Aceh's Ulu Masen region, although a small amount of
deforestation will be allowed to continue to provide local communities with
timber. The project will then be awarded carbon credits that will be sold on an
exclusive basis to Merrill Lynch.
The bank has agreed to buy a minimum of $9m worth of credits, has an option
to buy further credits from the scheme and has committed to sharing profits with
the project if it can sell the credits at a premium.
Critics of avoided deforestation schemes have argued that it is extremely
difficult to accurately verify that carbon emission reductions have been
achieved, but Abyd Karmali, global head of Carbon Emissions at Merrill Lynch
insisted that the criteria governing the Aceh project are extremely robust.
"Carbon Conservation and Fauna and Flora have been working in the region for
a long time so there is substantial base line data on which to base carbon
calculations," he said. "The calculations are also in line with the
Climate Community and Biodiversity
Alliance, which take an extremely conservative view on how many carbon
credits can be issued [as a result of avoided deforestation projects]."
Karmali said that the company was expecting to see strong demand from
customers for the new credits, which he argued delivered a number of benefits
beyond mere carbon emission reductions.
"Merrill Lynch's thesis on the carbon market is that the days of vanilla
credits [that simply deliver emission reductions] are nearing an end," he said.
"Companies will be looking for credits that deliver more benefits and the Aceh
project is a prime example of this approach – there are five endangered species
in this region that will benefit from biodiversity protection while the income
will also aid development in an area badly affected by the 2004 tsunami."
Financial mechanisms for curbing deforestation are currently the subject of
intense debate at the UN where proposals have been put forward to include
avoided deforestation credits in the UN's carbon trading schemes. Advocates of
the plans argue they would provide governments with a clear financial incentive
for protecting forest regions.
Karmali said that the value of credits from the Aceh project could be
expected to increase significantly if these proposals are included as part of a
post Kyoto agreement. However, he insisted the project would be able to "stand
on its own two feet" even if it has to continue to issue voluntary credits.
However, some negotiators, most notably from the US, have argued that avoided
deforestation schemes should not be granted official UN approval on the grounds
that it would mean people are effectively being paid not to do something that is
already illegal.
Karmali countered that such arguments ignored the reality of illegal logging,
adding that it was essential that a means is found that allows countries to
realise the financial value of their forestry assets without recourse to
felling. "According to the IPCC avoided deforestation would cut emissions by up
to 25 per cent, while almost every economic analysis of climate change shows it
is one of the most important actions we can take," he said. "We need to find a
means to incentivise countries such as Indonesia to reduce deforestation."
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