Soldier

Climate change could spark century long World War

Defence think tank argues tenfold increase in clean tech research spending is required to head off huge new security risks

Written by James Murray

If climate change is not slowed it will spark conflicts of a similar magnitude of the two World Wars, except that instead of lasting five years they will wage for centuries.

That is the stark warning not of an apocalypse-predicting cult, but a report from one of the UK's most respected defence think tanks, the Royal United Services Institute (RUSI).

Released today, the report from former advisor to the Prime Minister's strategy unit and chief executive of environmental group E3G Nick Mabey argues that over the next few decades climate change will drive as significant a change in the global security environment as the end of the Cold War.

It also claims that the international response to the security threat posed by climate change has been "slow and inadequate" and that governments must integrate climate change into their security strategies as a matter of urgency.

Moreover, the report calls for a tenfold increase in clean tech research spending to help ensure the worst effects of climate change are avoided.

Speaking to The Telegraph, Mabey said that governments were guilty of ignoring the possible worst-case scenarios when addressing the climate change threat. "We are preparing for a car bomb, not for 9/11," he said, adding that planning for the top of the temperature range scientists are predicting would help accelerate investment in clean tech. He insisted this investment would not be wasted if temperature increases proved more manageable as the development of clean technologies would be required anyway.

The report argues that a failure to mitigate climate change would lead to a complete change in the global security landscape, noting that "our energy and climate security will increasingly depend on stronger alliances with other l arge energy consumers, such as China, to develop and deploy new energy technologies, and less on relations with oil-producing states".

Mabey joins growing numbers of defence experts who are convinced that global warming will provide the greatest threat to long-term stability this century. Commentators have already linked the conflict in the Sudan with global warming and experts have repeatedly speculated on the huge migration and attendant security risks that would be caused by long-term droughts in India or China.

Speaking last year John Ashton, a senior diplomat at the Foreign Office, argued that climate change should be presented as a security issue to mobilise faster political action.

"We tend in our societies to take security more seriously than anything else and you can do a lot of things in response to a security problem that you cannot do in response to another type of problem," he said in an interview with Channel 4 News. "You can mobilise, for example, public investment much more quickly and on a much bigger scale."

The RUSI report also further highlights the security factors businesses should account for when assessing the medium to long-term risks posed by climate change.

Tags:

Further reading

Related articles

Do you agree?

Advertisement

Job of the week

Search thousands of IT jobs :

Search thousands of IT jobs:

Advanced search

Hiring now on ComputingCareers:

Related IT jobs

Search thousands of IT jobs :

Search thousands of IT jobs:

Advanced search

Advertisement

Watch

16 May 2008

2.97 MBXP on OLPC, broken dreams and Yahoo fights back More...

15 May 2008

3.28 MBDark fibre, mobile TV and solar power More...

14 May 2008

2.66 MBOnline inequality, mobile thumbprints and corporate raids More...

Poll

HOME WORKING

HOME WORKING

Do you let any or all of your employees work from home?

Previous poll results

Newsletter signup

Sign up for our range of FREE newsletters:

Existing User

Newsletter user login:

Enter email address to edit your newsletter preferences

Spotlight

OLPC

OLPC to ship with Windows XP

Microsoft teams up with One Laptop per Child project   More...

The Sims

The Sims goes flat-pack with Ikea

Virtual world gets Swedish wood   More...

Advertisement

Microsoft-Yahoo

Yahoo board fights back at Icahn

Investor accused of 'significant misunderstanding' in Microsoft saga   More...

MySpace

Woman charged over MySpace suicide

Lori Drew indicted on federal charges   More...

Advertisement