The Consumer
Electronic Association expects some 600,000 HD-DVD and Blu-ray players and
optical drives to be sold in the US alone this year.
Following the successful launch of
Toshiba's
HD-DVD players, units are predicted to continue selling quickly to early
adopters, despite the ongoing standards battle between the two rival
technologies.
But, according to Sean Wargo, director of industry analysis at the CEA, the
ace up the sleeve of Blu-ray is
Sony's Playstation
3 (PS3), which is now expected to hit the streets in November.
'The amount of PS3s that ship will outpace any other next-generation DVD
player,' he told PCW.
He believes Sony's console will sell around two million units in its first
six months after release, leaving
HD-DVD
playing catch up.
Microsoft's Xbox 360
is backing HD-DVD, and the company plans to launch a peripheral for its console,
which is expected to cost around $250.
It has kept its high-definition plans close to its chest; when contacted, a
Microsoft spokesperson would only say: ‘We will make an HD-DVD drive accessory
available to consumers this year.’
It also means that even if
Blu-ray loses
the standards war with HD-DVD and is not adopted as the next-generation player
of choice, it will survive as a games console drive in the Playstation.
Optical drives for PCs are expected from this summer, with some manufacturers
saying they will give consumers the option of either technology for their
computers.
Wargo expects PC drives to play a major role in the eventual outcome of de
ciding the stronger technology. 'More and more of our media consumption is
happening through the computer,' he said.
While neither technology yet dominates, what is clear, said Wargo, is that
both content providers and consumers alike want to see one technology. But with
no signs of a merging of the standards, that's unlikely to happen.
Related articles:
Sony's
PS3 finally gets its launch date
Do you agree?
Have your say on this article