Analysts have given mixed reactions to
Microsoft's
Zune iPod
rival, plans for which were officially confirmed today.
Michael Gartenberg, at Jupiter Research, believes that Microsoft faces three
challenges with Zune: creating a technically competent challenger; creating a
lifestyle device; and creating a platform.
Gartenberg argues that producing a competent challenger to the market is the
easiest task.
Apple has already shown what the market wants and, by focusing solely on
music and video and omitting game functionality, the Zune is going to be easier
to market.
On the lifestyle front, Microsoft could have a problem. Despite following the
lessons learned with Xbox by creating a separate brand distanced from Microsoft,
Gartenberg wrote on the Jupiter Research blog that it is going to be "hard to
create the same level of cachet that Apple has with the iPod".
Microsoft must also recognise that the iPod is more than a standalone device,
and has many official and third-party accessories.
"No doubt [Microsoft] will work hard to make sure that they fill some of the
gap directly with first-party stuff, but this is one area where consumer choice
goes a long way in making the platform a success," wrote the analyst.
Gartenberg is largely positive, however. "When Microsoft decides to enter a
market, you cannot ignore the impact it will make," he said.
"It is likely that by force of will, and spending lots of money on marketing
with a high cost of acquisition on new users, they will capture some market
share."
However, Carl Howe, at Blackfriars Communications, disagreed that money can
buy market share.
"Microsoft spent in excess of $10bn on MSN, and it has not really made a dent
in Yahoo or AOL," he wrote on the company blog.
"And it's working on similar results with Xbox 360, where it lost $1.3bn last
year promoting a platform on which it loses more money the more units it sells.
"Now we know why Microsoft notified Wall Street that it was going to be
spending more money this year. This programme has red ink written all over it."
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