Email
Researchers discovered that email chain letters do not spread like a virus

Boffins question viral spread of email chain letters

Messages travel in a less direct way than previously thought

Written by Robert Jaques

New research into the viral spread of email chain letters suggests that the messages travel in a less direct and more diffuse pattern than previously assumed.

Jon Kleinberg, of Cornell University, and David Liben-Nowell, of Carleton College, found that the messages did not spread like a virus with each producing many direct "descendents" in a tree pattern.

Advertisement

Instead, people seem to be selective in forwarding messages to others in their social networks.

For example, the researchers discovered that the messages produced only a single descendent 90 per cent of the time.

The research, supported by the National Science Foundation, Google, Yahoo and the MacArthur Foundation, examined the way in which two email petitions circulated over a period of 10 years.

One petition in support of public radio began circulating in 1995, and the other, in opposition to the US invasion of Iraq, originated in 2002.

The chain letters themselves often got to people by highly circuitous routes

Jon Kleinberg Cornell University

The messages had the common characteristic of being widely circulated; the researchers found 316 copies of the public radio petition with more than 13,000 signatures, and 637 copies of the Iraq petition with almost 20,000 signatures.

Using this data, the researchers mapped out how these messages travelled from recipient to recipient on a tree pattern.

A careful analysis of the pattern challenges some of the common assumptions about how messages spread, including the viral contagion theory.

These messages also rarely took the most direct route between two inboxes, even when two people were connected by a few degrees of separation.

"The chain letters themselves often got to people by highly circuitous routes," said Kleinberg.

"You could be six steps away from someone, yet the chain letter could pass through up to 100 intermediaries before showing up in your inbox."

Related articles

Related whitepapers

Related jobs

Do you agree?

IT white papers

Search vnunet IThound

Top categories

Job of the week

Search thousands of IT jobs :

Search thousands of IT jobs:

Advanced search

Hiring now on ComputingCareers:

Related IT jobs

Search thousands of IT jobs :

Search thousands of IT jobs:

Advanced search

Advertisement

Newsletter signup

Sign up for our range of FREE newsletters:

Existing User

Newsletter user login:

Enter email address to edit your newsletter preferences

Watch

Shaun Nichols and Iain Thomson

10 Oct 2008

7.33 MBPodcast Special: Views from the Valley More...

Podcast image

09 Oct 2008

12.99 MBComputing podcast - IT implications of the banking crisis, and the FSA clamps down on IT security More...

Shaun Nichols and Iain Thomson

03 Oct 2008

6.49 MBPodcast Special: Views from the Valley More...

Poll

Google Android

Google Android

Are you intending to try out a Google Android mobile phone?

Previous poll results

Spotlight

Microsoft

Microsoft plans Silverlight 2.0 announcement

Web application tool revamp promised later today   More...

Stock prices

Security disclosures tip the stock market

Events such as Microsoft's Patch Tuesday could be used for...  More...

Blogs

Analyst predicts Web 2.0 fire sale

Prices for online apps could soon plummet, says Forrester   More...

MoD building

Latest data breach leads MPs to demand culture change

MoD admits to losing a hard drive containing up to...  More...

Primary Navigation