New research suggests that global mobile web users will jump from 577 million
today to over 1.7 billion by 2013.
Juniper Research attributes the growth primarily to surging demand for
collaborative applications, and greater penetration of next-generation mobile
infrastructure.
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Accessing social networking, user-generated content, instant messaging and
location-based services on the go will drive more and more people to the mobile
web, the report claims.
However, this shift towards the direct-to-consumer model will put pressure on
mobile network operators and handset manufacturers to relinquish some of their
control over the value chain by opening up networks and devices to
third-parties.
"Major web players have already crossed the Rubicon and established
themselves in the mobile domain," said Ian Chard, research analyst for Juniper
and author of the report.
"This places the onus on mobile network operators and other members of the
value chain to form innovative relationships and grab a share of new revenue
streams.
Major web players have already crossed the Rubicon and established themselves in the mobile domain
Ian Chard Juniper Research
"The mobile web 2.0 market is still nascent and business models remain in a
state of flux, so there is still time for players to establish fruitful
partnerships that build on their strengths and are reciprocally beneficial."
However, Chard warned that "the window of opportunity is closing".
The development of mobile web 2.0 is expected to mimic that of the desktop
experience as many applications are being provided at flat data rates or even
free of charge, forcing industry players to seek new revenue streams.
Juniper said that the Far East & China region is predicted to be the
largest market for mobile web, reaching almost 416 million users by 2013, but
the greatest untapped potential for the mobile web is in South America.
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